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6 Miguel Olivo, C, 9.14.11

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How about a quick-shtick on each lineup position? ... we'll go for the top half on Thursday.  :- )

....

Miguel Olivo hit a ball, about 10 feet foul down the LF line, that cleared the upper-deck facade like James Belushi hitting a tennis ball over the chain-link fence against Big Sak.  It literally disappeared back into a tunnel.

As Jeff Sullivan pointed out, Olivo's out ratio is farrrrr above the legal limit and if a saber patrolman ever field-tests him, Miguel will not be driving his own car home.

Olivo is averaging 24 walks and 153 strikeouts (!!) per 162 games on his career.  I'm guessing that is the worst, the #1 worst, EYE profile of any good player in major league history.

SP Jason Vargas, 9.14.11

=== April 1, 2011 to July 6, 2011 ===

Vargas pitched very well, notching a 3.49 ERA for the first two-thirds of the season.

Though Dr. D remained unconvinced, many (most?) SSI cave-dwellers believed that he was being stubborn.  Comparisons to Jimmy Key, Jamie Moyer and similar finesse aces were finding their level.

Dr. D didn't particularly object.  Vargas is a soft-tosser who stays around Ron Shandler's magic 5.6 strikeout line -- the line at which soft-tossers can be not only solid pitchers, but actually stars.  Think Brad Radke. 

So, You'd Trade Morrow for League ... again?, 2

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Re Brandon League, Mojo likes what he sees:

Contrast Brandon League:

Cooler tattoos, 

Better control,  League can paint the corners when he wants, and can throw his sinkerball for a strike.

Good stuff too,  He hits 98 on the radar gun, has a good sinker ball, and has that fork thing as his offspeed pitch.

Has thrived in Seattle, with 3.42 and 2.82 ERAs while pitching high leverage innings for the lowest run scoring and most disappointing offenses in history. 

Does not whine,  Last year, he never whined, that we know of, during all those 1-1 and 0-0 tie games where he pitched his heart out for at least two innings, and the Mariners lost anyway.

Kyle Seager, Chris Snelling and other "Ballplayers"

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Rick, who thankfully left Caffeinated Confines to favor us with his baseball perspective, sez,

 

[Speaking of position switches] Carp sounds like a 60's throwback, but then, our era also saw Tommy Harper (as well as Pete Rose) move from 2nd to 3rd.  Good hitters.  Tommy transformed himself from a speedster (73 SBs with 95 walks as a 2nd baseman in '69) to a power hitter (31 HRs as a 3rd baseman in '70) with the move. 

Now THERE'S a guy who knew how to play a role.  Harper wasn't a good 2nd baseman, but you had to make room for Rich Rollins and Tommy Davis.  But I sure don't suggest we move Ackley there.  He needs to be given a position and stay there, and it ain't 3rd. 

The 2012 "Maypole" Saber Schematic

 

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Megadittos to G-Money's org overview, in this thread.  /cosign G.  It's a legitimately strange organizational situation.  

... EVERYbody has got to give it up for Zduriencik's talent development, and for me the signature decision was to draft Dustin Ackley and to move him to the 2B position. That represents Zduriencik in so many ways.

***

The Mariners usually contract some famous saberdweeb or other, to propose them a schematic for the next season's moves.  Maybe they should retain your services, Gordon?

Personally, I never understood why a Mat Olkin would want to submit an "offseason plan" in a vacuum -- not having full information as to which trade targets were available.  Of course, the $10k might have something to do with it.

POTD: 3B is the new 1B (Mike Carp, Mike Trumbo)

Terry McDermott continues to clang the cowbell for Carp at 3B :- )

In the great Yonder Alonso / Joe Torre tradition! Plus, you need to make some space for the rooks in left, whichever ones don't get traded. If it's me, I'd spend some time thinking about a Wells-Ackley-Ichiro outfield with Trayvon as the fourth (switch-hitting pinch-hitter, pinch-runner). If you want to maximize Ackley's bat, CF is at least as good an option as 2B with the added thrill that we get to watch him run more often.

Wilhelmsen for 5 SP

Spec sez,

You're forgetting one [in your rookie rundown] ... Tom Wilhelmsen, take two

7 G, 12.1 IP, 9 H, 4 ER, 0 HR, 4 BB, 14 K

2.92 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, 0.0 HR/9, 2.92 BB/9, 10.22 K/9

He didn't make the highlights, so I don't know what he looked like, but Gameday sez:

97, 95, 81, 97 (1 out)

96, 79, 96, 81 (2 outs)

97, 80, 96, 81, 98, 97, 97 (3 outs)

Ruffin and Lueke have been 93-95 while Wilhelmsen has been 95-97.

Didn't make the highlights, eh ... Dr. D and Mrs. D had the pleasure of watching Mr. Martini live with a monitor in line of sight, and GameDay did not do him justice ...

Wilhelmsen was 96-97 standin' still, and this time when he came back with the 81 hook they just watched it go by.  For a few batters, he was Josh Beckett.  They were utterly locked up on anything offspeed.  (GameDay shows one called strike on the yakker, but there were two others that froze the batters and the ump didn't call the strikes.)

Beavan 5-for-5 ... the Route Forward

=== Plus, not Plus-Plus, Command ===

Here is one of Beavan's better AB's from Monday night, a first-inning strikeout of Josh Willingham:

True, he does manage to get through 7 pitches without giving Willingham much to hit, except the one centered FB that Willingham fouled back.  And, granted, there are three pretty nice jam pitches there, although Beavan is wide open to simply "Ball Two" on any of them.

But this is nibbling, as opposed to painting.

Tray-vonn's K's, Age-Arc, and ML Prototype

Q.  To what extent do Trayvon's strikeouts dominate his "profile"?

A.  The swings and misses are an indispensible part of his profile.  Going back through minors history, to find players who are like Trayvon Robinson, you would need this:

  • League-leading, or nearly so, K rates in AA/AAA
  • EYE about 0.4 ... not a good EYE at 0.65, but also not a bad EYE in the 0.20's
  • Excellent gap power, NOT light-tower power in McPherson, Pickering style
  • Left hand hitting
  • Clean, compact swing... good BABIP ... K's caused by pitch recog, not by a long swing
  • Special talent -- in AA/AAA at a young age

Fair enough?  I'm sure you can see why most strikeout kings don't help us understand Trayvon Robinson.

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