Shout - Wishhiker - 1/5/16 1:00pm

Conversation: 
Chat: 12/23/15 2:39pm

<p>Matt, you see only .5 from CF? Ok, I get the lack of faith but this seems overboard. </p>
<p> Fangraphs has Martin as worth that last year in 310 PA when #Texas had a hot prospect to take his time away. So increased playing time reduces his value over that faceplant season? His 2 full seasons were 2.9 and 3.5 on FG or 3.5 and 4.6 on BR. 1.1 last season per BR. That with a .270 BABIP, vs. .313 career, .319 and .336 in his 500-some-PA seasons. I find it more likely he has career high PA this season, sees his speed bring that BABIP back over .300 and his defensive value holds. Wouldn't that put him closer to 3 wins than 0?</p>
<p>You don't seem to see bouncebacks in many cases there. This team has more decent chance "most improved" candidates than I remember ever seeing. You've left almost all of that out which isn't wrong, it's just if you add a win here and there for a more "mid" prediction (I see many of yours as closer to low with Martin Under that) it's probably closer to 83-85 in my view. There's plenty of UP left to be potentially realized there too and that's before tweaks that will surely happen.</p>

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