The last thirty #20-22 picks
In 2008, the players drafted in the #20-22 slots overall, were:
[Josh Fields]
Ryan Perry
Reese Havens
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In 2007, those three players were:
Chris Withrow
J.P. Arencibia
Tim Alderson
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In 2006, you had:
Chris Parmalee
Ian Kennedy
Colton Willems
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In 2005, it was:
Mark Pawelek
Cliff Pennington
Aaron Thompson
Certainly, Dr. D knows that the book isn't closed on these players. But did YOU know that, if you drafted players like this with the 2009 #22 pick, that four years later you'd still be cooling your heels, waiting for them? Pennington was a college SS.
If your idea is to grab several first-rounders and get help for 2010, 2011, think again ... unless it's Josh Fields you're talking about. THAT is the #20 overall who can help your ballclub quickly. :- )
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OK, going back five years to 2004, now, do we start finding some impact players jelling?
Trevor Plouffe
Gregory Golson
Glen Perkins
Perkins started 26 games for the Twins last year, performing about like Jarrod Washburn or so (92 ERA+, low K's, low BB's left-handed).
So we went all the way down this list, most the players went "PLOUFFE" and left an acrid aroma in our draft room, but we did finally hit ... Jarrod Washburn. I can barely contain my urge to throw Josh Fields back into the pool for another go.
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In 2003, we had:
Chad Cordero
Matthew Moses
David Aardsma
WHOOAAAAA! After 18 Plouffes ;- ) we hit an impact player and he was ... a college closer. :- ) LOLOL!
Moses parted a bunch of highway stripes along lonely minor-league highways, but Aardsma made the majors. I think I've heard of him. Did the M's give up a 1st-rounder to acquire him? Anybody for dealing a #20 overall to acquire David Aardsma?
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In 2002:
Denard Span
Bobby Brownley
Jeremy Guthrie
And at player #22, we hit somebody we would trade a 1st-rounder for (or would we?).
If you're complaining that Guthrie is a nice 1st-rounder, not so fast. He'd have been out of your org long before he figured out how to pitch. You'd have burned a #22 on him, and he'd have given you zero. Then he'd have gone and Carlos Guillened you later.
Takes draft picks a loooooonnnnngggggg time to get here, if they ever do.
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In 2001:
Brad Sowers
Brad Hennessey
Jason Bulger
Sowers made the bigs, but has a career ERA+ of 88 and a strikeout rate of 4. You'd rather have Ryan Franklin or Cha Seung Baek -- or anybody off the waiver wire, like David Aardsma or somebody. You certainly wouldn't want to spend a 1st-rounder on him.
Hennessy has a career ERA+ of 93, and a K/BB of 192/147. He may be figuring it out, though: last year his ERA was down to 7.81.
Bulger is 30 now, with a career ERA of 6.35 in a handful of ML innings.
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In 2000:
Chris Bootcheck - 30 years old, career ERA 6.04, 134 innings
Boof Bonser - After 6.5 minors seasons and 3 ML seasons, has ERA+ of 84. Will be good eventually, but it didn't help the '00's-decade Twins
Phil Dumatrait - Turning 27, has career ERA of 7.08 in majors
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In 1999:
Vince Faison
Larry Bigbie
Matt Ginter
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So you offer me a probable ML impact reliever with the #20 or #22 overall. Do I take it? I dunno, do I look like I've recently lost my mind to you?
Cheers,
Dr D