Lotto Draw at J.R. Richard ?

=== Taijuan Walker ===

Had a huge game over the weekend.  Says Cool Papa:

Taijaun Walker pitched for the third time this year and was on fire. He struck out 11 men in 6.1 innings while allowing only two singles and walking nobody. He is only 18 and facing off against a lineup with an average age 22 yet was completely overwhelming, striking out over half the guys he faced. He's looking like the real deal.

The game report said that he took a no-no into the 6th.  Wound up with 2 singles, 11 strikeouts, and 8 other outs... all via groundball.

[Strikeouts + groundballs] always amuse Dr. D because "natural" strikeout pitches go over a hitter's bat -- fastballs, anyway.  

When the hitter can't catch up to the pitch, the bat on its upward plan sails under the ball, which is why a letter-high FB is a strikeout pitch and a knee-high fastball is a "pitch-to-contact" pitch (you can't swing under a fastball at the knees).

Anytime I see a pitcher do that, tons of K's, tons of GB's and no fly balls, I want to know how it is that a pitcher managed to do it in that particular game.  

Erik Bedard's curve drops hard, and produces both K's and grounders -- his fastball low-away gets topped two-hoppers and swings on FB's off the plate.  Erikkk also goes up the ladder for K's.

But Kevin Brown, Erikkk Bedard and Kevin Brown are throwing slightly more sophisticated games than 18-year-old pitchers do....

How did Walker blow away 50% of the hitters while inducing weak, topped BIP's when they did make contact?

No clue.  Only guess would be that he threw lots of those vaunted overhand yakkers.

.

=== Mechanics ===

There is plenty of T.J. Walker vid on the net.

SSI's quick impression includes:

  • Pitcher's body drawn up on the chalkboard
  • Super tall, yet light on his feet, lanky but powerful, long arms -- loose ligaments
  • Jangly when he walks, there, Satchel
  • Easy velocity, smooth, powerful extension down CL, easy clearance
  • Spins the curve with Matsuzaka-like fingersnap

Visually the kid reminds me a little of J.R. Richard when he came up.  Looked like a human catapult on the mound, scary fastball, scary overhand yakker, came down the CL at you finishing with a huge low face halfway to you, like a snake-monster uncoiling to bite...

J.R. battled his control in a manner very similar to Randy Johnson, and when he jelled at ages 27-28, he took over the league... 

As you might remember, Taijuan Walker was a hoops star.  According to the interviews, he was more surprised than anybody when somebody asked him to try pitching and he hit 92 on the gun...

So you can imagine that his mechanics would need some time to come up to speed.  But his mechanics seem to be improving very quickly, per the vids we've seen.

Scout or saberdweeb, you still have the right to ask a simple question:  how come Taijuan Walker is throwing strikes so soon?

.

=== Velocity ===

At first they said that Walker threw 92-93 ... Zduriencik IIRC said 95-97 this year.  At 18, 19, and 20, Michael Pineda got credit for 91-95 mph....

Aside from the velocity, it is easy to fall in love with Walker's overhand curve.  He snaps it off with zero strain or effort and the ball just quivers with spin.  He's been throwing it easily for called strikes since as long as they've been putting vid on the net...

..........

Score another one for HQ, which before the season flatly stated that Walker's "upside is as high as any pitcher in the minors."

When Walker was selected, Dr. D pulled a sour face, though he admitted that the M's scouts had to know a lot more than he did.  ... if that draft were tomorrow, Walker would probably be a top-10 overall.

SSI fancies the J.R. Richard archetype.  We'll see how it goes...


BABVA,

Dr D

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Comments

1

Lonnie's eyewitness account:
Jose Campos was throwing, and wow that kid brings the heat! He was routinely hitting 97 on the radar gun, and snapped off a couple of 99's. His mechanics are so smooooooooth, he generates a lot of easy heat.

And the video: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Itm1I1LpuVU
And Taro quoted Churchill's spring training report:
"Jose Campos, formerly known as Vicente -- that's his middle name -- ranked at No. 30 this offseason and hit 99 mph Thursday, also showing one or two power curveballs that got a 'wow' out of catching coordinator Roger Hansen. Campos, 18, is a big, strong kid at 6-foot-4 and just over 200 pounds, and offers tons of projection.
The Venezuelan could be the next big find by International Scouting Director Bob Engle and his scouting staff."

Farm director Pedro Grifol had singled out Campos way back in January.
Reportedly Campos will debut at Clinton as well sometime soon.

2
Jpax's picture

Now that is a pitching staff!
 
Paxton/Walker/Campos/Snow

3
Taro's picture

Walker is the most exciting Ms pitching prospect right now. His projection has turned into velocity and that was some serious domination yesterday.

4

Gerrit Cole's former HS teammate, possessor of a 94 MPH fastball and a devastating slider.  He's 20 and making an interesting showing in the league right now as well (3+ K:BB, 10.7 K/9, couple of shaky command games but basically unhittable).  He's a prospect.
Shipers and some other teens are still coming in short-season next month.  Young arms we're doing okay with, for now.  Paxton is the only one with a decent chance to move fast, though.  We're laying the groundwork for the 2015 rotation at the moment in the low minors.  I find several of the guys interesting, now I just pray for health and success.
~G

5
ghost's picture

Other than Bedard, we've got King Felix (around forever), Michael Pineda (injury risk, since he's young, but definitely front line talent), Doug Fister (pitchability, repeatable delivery and great mechanics...should last forever) and Jason Vargas (the young Jamie Moyer). I see no reason to fear being short of pitching.

6

It's nice to know we should only have to fill back-end slots in the rotation.  If we fill them with top-flight guys like Paxton and maybe a Bauer from this year's draft, so much the better, but we're not trying to find another King.  We've got one already.
And by the time he might go hopefully the other talented arms will be ready to step up.  One thing at a time - first we need to finish repairing the bullpen and getting an offense worth a rusty buffalo nickel.
A semi-stable rotation will make that easier.
~G

7

The Zduriencik/Blengino/Engle/McNamara/Grifol team is firing on all cylinders.

8
Taro's picture

They've definetly done an excellent job in developing young talent so far. Despite the record in the past couple years, the Ms are better off now than they've ever been since the early 2000s.

9

He did some little puff interview in the park on milb.com:
http://web.minorleaguebaseball.com/multimedia/vpp.jsp?content_id=14848103
He talks about food options between Clinton vs. the Cal League, travel...that kinda stuff. Greatest part? About 2:30:
"I'm just trying to do what everyone else is trying to do, and that's trying to get to the big leagues.  I'm trying to make the Hall of Fame.  Anything is possible.  I'm trying to make a dream come true."
The big leagues isn't something he's hoping to scrape into.  Supreme confidence has always been one of Franklin's hallmarks, but his sights are aimed so far above "eke out a few years in the bigs" that it's not even funny.
I love him.
Ackley went 2-for-3 with two more walks tonight, taking his May OPS to eleventy billion or some such.  We have a really decent shot to draft Rendon in 3 weeks.  Franklin is scuffling a bit with a couple of minor injury issues that kept him out for a pair of 2-game absences in April, but he's hitting .300 in May. We'll see what he can do the rest of the year to add power back in and fix his issues from the right side, but I like his goals.  
Come add to our great infield of 2014, Nick - love to have your future-hall-of-fame self around for that.
~G

11

Brandon Maurer is in the process of making his mark his next league.  He ran a 10+ K/9 with that 3:1 K/BB ratio, then got bumped up to the Cal League.  His first start wasn't brilliant (5 IP, 7 hits, 2 runs (1 HR) but no walks and 4 Ks) but a good getting-your-feet-wet experience for the 20 year old - or for most anyone in that league, really.
Today's second start: 8 IP, 3 hits, no runs, no walks, 9 Ks. Dominant.
Okay, not exactly afraid of the Cal League there...
I was mildly curious to see if he'd recovered his form after a lot of time in instructionals last year and very little game action.  His Australian league pitching was good over the winter, but that doesn't count for a lot.
I did not expect him to come out and start laying down the law.  He has great potential, but he's turning it into mighty fine Actual as he climbs the minor league ladder.  He was good in the desert in 08, in Pulaski in 09 and now that he's back on track he's taking it to the hitters in A and A+ this year, with legit stuff.
Paxton, Walker, Maurer, all out of the gate with startling alacrity...and we still haven't seen bonus babies Shipers or Taylor or Campos yet. Some of our finesse pitchers have disappointed so far (Beavan not finding his touch, French bombing out, etc...tho Erasmo has been good) but some of the power arms are bringing it.
I'd rather have the #1-3 potential guys working out and the #4-5 guys struggling, all things considered, so this is a perfectly acceptable outcome for me. :)
~G

13

And both impressed me even with their struggles.
Maurer went 7.2 innings and gave up 5 runs, all earned, on a walk and 2 Ks.  
How did those runs plate?
- One legit run in the 4th, a single followed by a double, then the second run on a wild pitch from Maurer.  He got the batter out after the run scored.
- Nothing else til 2 outs in the 8th.  Maurer ran out of gas, loaded the bases, and the reliever who needed one out instead walked a guy and gave up a single to plate the two runs charged to Maurer.  
Without his strikeout stuff Maurer was still a groundball machine and hard to score on.  He shouldn't even have been out there in the 8th but they had a big lead.  Sometimes I like seeing a pitcher not bring his B game just to see what sort of a fighter he is.  I like the fight in that dog.
Paxton?
5 IP, 5 hits, 4 runs (2 earned) with 4BB and 7K.
- 2 runs scored on a passed ball and an error, one while Paxton picked off the runner at 1B and the guy at third took home during the rundown. Paxton picked off 2 guys in the outing, one at first and one at second, and his line in the 3rd and 4th innings looks like this:
6 up, 6 down, all Ks: swinging, swinging, looking, swinging, swinging, swinging.
Paxton's B stuff is pretty good too, certainly for that level.  There are definitely some interesting arms in this org right now.  Walker day is Tuesday, isn't it?
~G

15

and if you've seen Bauer, do you feel like I do that the wrong guy is listed as UCLA's Ace by the media?  Because one guy has a great arm, and one guy is a great pitcher.
And Cole ain't the pitcher. ;)  Lookin' forward to hearing what you think of Cole in game action, Doc.
~G

16

June 12: 6.0 IP, 5 H, 1 ER, 2 BB, 6 K
Season: 8 GS, 38.0 IP, 34 H, 11 ER, 14 BB, 45 K
2.61 ERA, 8.1 H/9, 0.2 HR/9, 3.3 BB/9, 10.7 K/9
Last 6 starts: total of 4 ER allowed in 32.1 IP
19th birthday: still two months away
This is starting to look reeeeeeeeally good.

17

Very little to go on with this guy, but he's a 19-year-old switch-hitting second baseman from Brazil: Filipe Burin.
Not many prospects from Brazil.
He's in Venezuela, and he's got 15 XBH and 14 walks in his first 24 games, and only 8 K.
Last year he had 40 walks and only 18 K in 58 games.
He's like the Ackley of Sao Paulo!

18

Chris Tillman's 33 innings in the Midwest League just after he turned 19 and before he got promoted to the Cal:
 
3.55 ERA, 8.5 H/9, 0.3 HR/9, 3.5 BB/9, 9.3 K/9
 
After he finished up by not getting killed in the Cal League (high ERA but same Ks and a tick higher on walks) he was rated as the #67 prospect in all the land.  And then we traded him for Bedard. ;)  Walker is pulling a Tillman while still being a very raw pitcher.
 
What's fun? 
 
20 year old Brandon Maurer:
 
MWL - 37 IP, 3.41 ERA, 7.6 hits, 0.5 HR, 3.4 BB and 10.7 K per 9
CAL - 32.2 IP, 3.58 ERA, 8.5 hits, 0.6 HR, 0.8 BB and 8.0 K per 9
 
We're having TWO of those (early) seasons from the really young??  Sheesh.
 
And then there's Paxton, who is gonna be scary when he consistently finds his command of his breaking pitches, considering he's already running the highest K/9 in that league of anyone with more than 50 IP, with an ERA under 3.  Only the walk are holding him back a touch from uber-elite dominance and letting other names get into the conversation.
 
Lovin' it.
 
~G

20

  I haven't posted in awhile.  I am the Dustin Axckley, Nick Franklin fan from upstate New York.  I live near Siena college and my nephew just graduated from Siena.
 

    You guys are going to love this kid.  He can absolutely rake.  Seatle did good on this one.  He is a player.
 
    John
 

 

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