Most Comparable Players, Dept.
These lists are where we came in, circa 1977

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In the same 2014 article we just led off with, James makes three separate Mariners references.  Just for fun, you understand, he asks the question "Who was 90% of Henry Aaron?  Who was 80%?  Who was 60% of Henry Aaron?"  (Bill White, 1962.)  That's a fun question because one Henry Aaron season is interchangeable/replaceable with every other season.  And James puts it in perspective for us:  it turns out that "60% of Henry Aaron is still a whale of a player."

Then he sets ARod as a standard, namely, his 2007 season with 54 homers, 156 RBI, 143 runs, 95 walks, etc.  Guess who's on the list as a fraction of ARod?  It turns out that Nelson Cruz is very, very similar to the peak Alex Rodriguez; it's just that Cruz is 80% (or something) of what ARod was.  Nelson Cruz is a scaled-down Super Alex.  I hadn't noticed that, had you?  Wonder if they lifted weights in the same gym?

Second M's reference:  Robinson Cano is some fraction (couldn't tell what fraction; was it 60%?) of ... Henry Aaron.

And third M's reference was when James praised Cruz' 2014 season for 40 homers.  Stuff like 20 wins, 100 RBI, etc., those ain't stats; they're words, language.  40 homers means, to him, "League leader in homers."  Wonder what James would say after the second one running, and that in Safeco.

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[ˈkämp(ə)rəb(ə)l]

ADJECTIVE

  1. (of a person or thing) able to be likened to another; similar: 

    "flaked stone and bone tools comparable to Neanderthal man's tools"

    synonyms: similar · close · near · approximate · akin · equivalent · 
    [more]
    • of equivalent quality; worthy of comparison: 

      "nobody is comparable with this athlete"

      synonyms: equal to · as good as · in the same league as · 
      [more]

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If Nate Karns turns out to be 70% of John Lackey, sign me up.   Lackey was age 26 when he jelled as one of the three or four best pitchers in the AL.  Karns is coming off his age-27 season.  Not too late by a long shot.

Paxton and 60% of Kershaw.  We would take that in a heartbeat.  And we'll roll with the "Neanderthal tools" part, too.  Blunt force trauma, babe.

Taijuan and 70% of Curt Schilling.  If things break right.  Or, Taijuan could become the best pitcher in the American League, according to some scouts.

King Felix with Roger Clemens and Tom Seaver.  We've noted that before.  It's especially comforting when you check these guys' career IP totals.

Ketel Marte and 80% of Jose Reyes :- )

Boog Powell and 50% of Brett Gardner?

Hisashi Iwakuma's second most-comparable player at b-ref.com is Gerrit Cole; number 6 on the list is Yu Darvish.  That happens a lot, so we hear at least, comparable players from comparable locations and ancestry.

On Mark Trumbo's b-ref.com comparables list -- high on the list -- are Bo Jackson and Jay Buhner.  (?!)

Seth Smith's most-comparable is David Dellucci, a quality ballplayer who (like Smith) was at his best when not overexposed.  #5 on Smith's list, somehow, is Jason Heyward, the winter's priciest outfielder.  Maybe we should find a way to keep Sething.

Cheers,

Dr D

Comments

1

"Nelson Cruz is a scaled-down Super Alex.  I hadn't noticed that, had you?  Wonder if they lifted weights in the same gym?"   Now is that the line of the week of what??  Made me chuckle over my decaf joe, Doc!

Interesting stuff about Seth Smith and comparables.  Through the age of 32 (Smith just turned 33), he most compares to Eric Byrnes, Todd Hollandsworth, Bernie Carbo (who I remember fondly) and David Murphy.  In their age 33 seasons, Byrnes OPS+'ed 69, Hollandsworth 78 and Murphy 101.  All were essentially done after that.  Carbo's last season was at age 32.  David Dellucci OPS'ed 77 at age 33 and 89 at 34. Let's hope Smith isn't him!   John Vander Wal was #3 most comparable over their careers (not to age 32).  He OPS'ed 106 at age 33 then 144, 108, 99, 113 after that.  

Here's to wishing Smith (if we keep him) has some Murphy and Vander Wal in him.  His .801 OPS vR last year indicates he has some productivity (with the bat) left.  But then Brad Miller just OPS'ed .803 VR, and look where it got him.

3
Jed C's picture

Ventura's counting stars are higher, but that is era related. It's kind of spooky how similar they are.

4

And a nice compliment for Seager.

Optimistic on the age arc, too, since Ventura had star-quality seasons at ages 31 and 34, and was a quality ballplayer at ages 35-36.

5

Check out MLB.com for a 7-plus-minute interview with DiPoto. He says we're good in LF with Smith and Guti. I had thought Smith eminently tradeable; not at all sure his merely adequate offense was enough to offset his seemingly poor defense.

So ... that's interesting.

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