Reality Check: Erik Bedard, $7 at HQ, or $15 at SSI*

=== Erik Bedard, $7 ===

Ah, now we're getting somewhere :- )

THE BEARDED PROPHET:  When healthy, dominates.  Not only racks up strikeouts, but pitches with polish (K:BB) and mixes GB% (groundball rate) into the bargain.

Has NEVER topped 200 innings.  Let others chase the dream.

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The Mainframe Sez:  We can certainly understand a reluctance to go, say, $15 roto.  But to top him out at $7?  We're guessing that Ron has blown a dollar or two on Erikkk in the past :- )

Pitching only 81 and 83 innings (!) in 2008 and 2009, he was still worth +30 runs in those two years.  And +100 runs (10 wins) in 2006-07.

A little weird to complain that a guy "has never topped 200 innings" when he has, in fact, topped +5 WAR twice ... and averaged +3.5 WAR the last five years, even with the injuries.

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Harden and Sheets, if their arms aren't right they can pitch lousy.  Bedard, on the other hand, if he can throw, he dominates.

Obviously there's a good 50% that he'll hit a wall in March, but if he doesn't, he's $15 easy.  The $15 selig rotobux are only after he hits four-five innings in Arizona, naturally.

Would anybody here be happy to see the Angels poach Bedard, and then hear that he was throwing good as we went into April?  Yuk.

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Capt Jack:  I was pleased to see the latent emotion in Zduriencik's comments as he announced Bedard's 2011 contract.

Zduriencik has groomed this alpaca for two years in expectation of a Savile Row blazer, and Zduriencik obviously sees Bedard as much more of a practical investment of time than we 'net rats do.

We happily agree.  Easiest thing in the world to wave off Bedard.  The guys spending real time, and real money, aren't.

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