Hamilton

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Pick Yer Poison

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Howzit gow'n, 'migos :- )

The day-night surgical doubleheader was called after 5 IP in the first game, so had less impact on my blogging OBP than expected.  Though woozy, we've got a quiet coupla hours here and are in the mood to ... gulp ... blog for fun, rather than for blood.  Apologies ahead of time for the appalling lack of quality the next several days.  Just pretend this isn't SSI.

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Q.  The A's kinda had the better of that series.  Maybe the M's just looked good against the Angels?

BEATDOWN

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Q.  When's the last time the Mariners scored 8 runs, three games in a row?  Much less the first three games?

A.  I dunno.  I'd like to know when was the last time they had any series that was so savage.

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Q.  Was it BABIP luck?

A.  As Dr. Grumpy says, if you're a man with a hammer, every problem looks like a nail.  To a Fangraphs editor, bless his heart, every baseball game looks like:

  • Swinging strikes
  • Balls outside the zone
  • Ball in play --- > sheer luck takes over

Just for your own personal benefit, Dr. D recommends that you stow those cliche's like "a 40% line drive rate has to regress to the mean."  That doesn't get at the guts of what was occurring in reality.  The Mariners did NOT merely get a bunch of batted balls to simply parachute empty spots on the grass.

Angels 3 …

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Q.  What is the usual "script" for Erasmo Ramirez?

A.  He paints with the fastball and uses two "plus" offspeed pitches to draw swinging strike threes.

That sounds cliche, but the healthy Erasmo Ramirez walked a mere 1.83 batters per nine innings in 2012.  He's got Rob-O-Tronic mechanics, simply Madduxian down the centerline, and his command (then) was truly elite.

He's one of a very few pitchers who can walk 2 men per game, and yet draw 7+ strikeouts (Doug Fister, Cliff Lee, Adam Wainwright, Hisashi Iwakuma, now David Price).  In 2012, he scored an 11.3% swinging strike rate -- compare Clayton Kershaw last year at 11.4%.  At his best, he's actually one of the 10-20 top swing-and-miss guys in baseball.

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Q.  Did Tuesday night's game follow this script?

A.  Not at all.  He had his "B" game out there, had all kinds of problems hitting his spots, missing lots of pitches wildly off the plate ...

He wound up with a 67% strike ratio, which is sky high.  But as you can clearly see, a lot of that was because the Angels were going after sucker pitches and fouling them off.  The strike ratio doesn't do justice to how much he labored.

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BaseballHQ on the Mariners

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Nice cup on the bat there LoMo.  And he's aiming it cup high.  Love the white knuckles.  Baa-aad intentions, bab-eh.  

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The ugly reality of Jered Weaver looms tonight.  Here's another reality check, with the center column giving you the HQ "takeaway ideas" on each player's 2014 prospects.

Player HQ "label" #
Almonte, CF Impact 4th outfielder Okay OBP, nice SB, some HR
"Bradley" Miller, SS Will impact from Opening Day $19 roto!
Cano, FK (fort knox) Will age gracefully $35 roto (!!)
Smoak, 1B Ready to step up 240/330/420 with 35 HR upside
Seager, 3B High "floor," power maturing $20 roto
Morrison, DH If healthy, will hit RHP UP:  .270 AVG, 20 HR
Saunders, RF meh AVG but good everything else $14 roto in 400 AB (!)
Zunino, C Don't touch him for 2014 .206/.294/.350
Ackley, LF Treat 2013 as floor, with UP 4.1 runs per 27 outs

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Hm.  Taking all of these players as roto individuals, Shandler sees 8 of them as solid contributors in 2014, all except Zunino.  As we mentioned, that would be a recipe for a top-5 offense.

See Ball, Hit Ball

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I/O:  The entire blog-o-sphere is -- uncharacteristically -- swooooooning over Brad Miller's spring performance.

CRUNCH:  Dr. D is impressed by (other) sites' ability to put aside the baseline assumption, that Spring Training does not count.  Generalizations are fine, but mastery of any subject depends on one's ability to find exceptions to the general rules.  With respect to Miller, this is occurring.

Robinson Cano's "Net Drill"

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There's a spirited debate, in the shout box, as to the value of Cano's "net drill."  Some think it's a panacea; others think it's just the "placebo effect" of having a Real Hall of Famer(TM) personally coach you.  One amigo wondered, plausibly, whether Smoak had actually done the "net drill" from the right side of the plate anyway (before his short, off-field double that day).

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First of all, here is the Ryan Divish video.  It shows Smoak taking batting practice, with a "fence" (net) set up close to him, so that he has to swing with the knob of the bat on his belly button.

If you're going to read further, YOU MUST VISIT THIS PAGE FIRST.  ;- )  Very simple texts, awesome .gifs.

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Second of all, it is true that most hitting tweaks don't matter much.  By "MOST" we do NOT mean "ALL."

Unique Dating Destinations in San Jose

When the ideas have gone dry and you juts can’t think of anything to do for a date night except “the usual”, it’s time to rattle the brain and find something different and unique. San Francisco and all its wonders are just a stone’s throw away, but there are plenty of things you can do without making the drive from San Jose. Put aside the usual restaurant and bar routine and try a game or two at the local bowling alley. Head up to Mount Hamilton and the Lick Observatory to spend an evening looking up at the stars.

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