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Q. How often does C.J. Wilson give up 6 earnies?
A. Last year, twice -- at Texas, on July 30, and at the Dodgers, on May 27. I don't notice that either game was on Opening Day* or against a lefty lineup.
The year before, three times -- at Texas, at Fenway (LOL!) and the Tampa Rays got him at home.
In 2011, Wilson didn't yield six earned runs all season, despite pitching the year in Texas. So, there you go -- it's a miniscule 5% of the time that Wilson coughs up 6+, and never under favorable circumstances.
The Mariners are no longer "favorable circumstances." QED.
;- )
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Q. Who else in the American League is 2-0?
A. Read it and weep, you pesky rodent Angel fans. I know one team that isn't.
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Q. Are the Angels worried at all?
A. Want to see them in full-on panic mode? ALREADY? Check it out rat cheer :- )
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Q. What precisely is going on with Dustin Ackley's game? Sabermetrically, first.
A. On TV, they advertise that he's been too patient - last year's 50% swing rate on strikes was 2nd-lowest in baseball, sez they. Personally, I wouldn't agree. So far this year his overall swing rate is the same as it has been. It's not like he's going up there hacking.
But! He's having a much easier time reading the pitches. O-Swing is "swings outside the zone," Z-Swing is "swings when pitch is a strike," and so forth:
Year |
O-Swing% |
Z-Swing% |
O Contact% |
Z Contact% |
CT% |
2013 |
25% |
52 |
74 (grrr) |
91 |
86 |
2014 |
13 |
67 |
0 (!!) |
100 (!!) |
86 |
ML average |
30 |
61 |
61 |
86 |
77 |
His swings, and contact rate, aren't different. What IS different, is that he is very easily deciding what is a good pitch and what isn't.
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Q. The above table tells us about X and Y axis. How about the Z axis -- the front and back of the zone?