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Q. Why would the Royals trade Alex Gordon? They just traded for Ervin Santana, trying to win in 2013.
A. The Royals' payroll these days is below Oakland's. Their entire team payroll last year was $63.1M. Here's their 2012 payroll; sort the dollars column.
Gordon's and Butler's contracts, by Angels or Rangers standards, are small. But by Oak, KC or TB standards those are big checks the teams are writing. The guy behind Gordon is Wil Myers, supposedly THE number one prospect in baseball. We are not talking about waiving Alex Gordon here; we're talking about cashing him in for super-talented $480,000 ML players the Royals absolutely love. ... as it pertains to their shopping Gordon in the abstract.
If you are the GM of the Royals, Rays or A's and you are not alert to this - cashing your year 4, 5 players for tremendous year 1 players before it becomes an emergency year 6 situation - you're being derelict. For example, Billy Beane traded Dan Haren with three years of club control left, getting back Carlos Gonzalez, Brett Anderson and several other players.
Could even be that the Royals took on the $12M, knowing that a Gordon deal is imminent; that's the way Billy Beane worked things in Moneyball.
But I don't know that the Royals want to move Alex Gordon. I do know that if I were them, I'd be shopping him -- for the same reasons that Billy Beane is always shopping his year 4, year 5 stars. These small-market teams are in a CONSTANT process of fighting the year 4-6 clocks. Every time you can back the clock up from year 4-5 to year 1, and do it to your advantage, it's a good thing.
*Asterisk: Maybe because of the TV money, the Royals are about to raise their payroll from $63M to $85M or somesuch. Maybe in a new 30% inflated environment, the Royals' whole Moneyball Year-5-to-Year-2 waterwheel no longer applies. But I doubt it.
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