San Francisco

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2,000 Years of Willie Mays

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'twas an article that Bill James wrote, back in the early days, like 1985 I think it was.  He ran a billion computer sims of old-timey HOF'ers.  His interest was, "What are the outer bounds of what could be possible, given random chance?"  So he'd run a season's worth of Mays performance, and run another one .... you know, in season #247 there would be a 7-hit game.  In season #512 there would be a 201-RBI performance.  Or whatever.

It would be a long, long time -- a lot of seasons -- in between truly shocking computer performances.  But when they occurred they would be completely ridiculous.  As I recall, George Brett ... scratch that, no, it was Wade Boggs ... hit like .445 in one of James' simulated baseball seasons.  Meaning, somebody COULD hit .445 in real life.  It's possible.  I bet you Ichiro WOULD have hit .400 in some season or other, if he'd played twenty years in Fenway Park.  Maybe he'd have had a .425 season and established the record.  Hey, everybody thought Ruth's 60 homers were safe.

Those "outlier" seasons sounded crazy at the time.  A few years later, real players had 70-homer seasons.  On the actual green grass of National League parks.

There was a punch line to the whole thing:  One of his virtual players ran 2,000 seasons, and then the guy's batting average turned out to be a fairly long distance below what he had programmed it to be.  Bill finished wryly, "They say that the breaks even out.  But even in two thousand years, they might not.  Ain't that somethin'?"

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….. Felix 0

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STREAM OF CONSCIOUSNESS

Everybody who had Felix on Mt. Rushmore?  Make It So.  And no further shouting until somebody has the Photoshop in hand.

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We've mentioned before.  Felix doesn't look as brainy as Greg Maddux, doesn't look as tough as Clemens or Unit.  So we figger he isn't.  We figger wrong.

He came in, ankle throbbing.  Walked 10 men his last 3 games (see why).  Pitching against a velociraptor.  Gave up two quick hits, both broken-bat.

He put on his snake eyes.  This is a man with the spirit of a samurai.  He is the type of man who makes pro sports worthwhile.  No, we're not kidding.  It isn't just white folks who can be noble.

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M's 5 …..

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No sooner do the Mariners utterly humiliate themselves against the Lastros --- > than they roll out in San Francisco and eggsecute the world champs gangland-style.  When they tell you to kneel down and put your hands behind your head, Buster, go ahead and grab a letter opener and slash your way out in style.  No, seriously.  Dr. D will cooperate with criminals right up until they tell him to get down on the ground; then he's going all SSI-nutso on their sorry keisters.

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M's Win the Pennant! M's Win the Pennant!

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Bobby Fischer claimed to have been the World Champ beginning in 1962, which was ten years before his official win over Spassky.  Fischer had played an 8-man tourney in Curacao, him and 7 Russians.*  The Russkies conspired to throw games against each other freeze the teenage Bobby out.  "The Russians have fixed world chess!" was the scandal he reported in ... wait for it ... Sports Illustrated.  "I had the best score of anybody who didn't cheat.  I should be the champion."

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