I aint trading Karns-Marte-Bach for Cutch.
We give up too much.
But I'm sure it would get the job done from the Pirate end.
McCutchen as a 21 year old in AAA hit .770 with 9 HR's in 590 PA's. .283-.372-.398 At 22 it was .303-.361-.493.
Vogs just his .923 as a 23 year old. .292-.417-.505. 23 HR's. OK, IL vs PCL and 1-2 years difference. I get it.
But there is a chance that McCutchen doesn't BABIP .331 (his career number) in '17 and is closer to .297 (his '16 number).
I'm not giving up 3 MLB'er to get him.
Trout, sure. Not two years of McCutchen.
Since '06, these are the 23 year old LH bats who had an OBP of .400-ish and slugged .500-ish in the PCL. They had to walk about 100 pts and have a near 1/1 Eye. In parenthesis is how they did as a 24 year old in the bigs.
'06
Chris Carter (Didn't get there. Career .689 in 206 MLB PA's)
Shin-soo Choo (A cup of coffee at 24. Really dang good at 25-26. Career bigs .280-.381-.451)
'08
Seth Smith did it as a 25 year old.
'10
Buster Posey did it. Well, not a LH bat.
'11
Brandon Belt (.275-.360-.421. Career .818 bat in the bigs)
'12
Adam Eaton (.252-.314-.360. Career .771 in the bigs. Not a great comparison because his AAA slugging was generated by 46 doubles and only 7 HR's)
Anthony Rizzo (Was 22. Walked less, slugged more)
'14
Joc Pederson (was 22. Eye was .6. Speedy CF. .763 in the bigs the next year with 26 HR's)
And that's it. Not many guys in the last 10 seasons have done what Vogs did in AAA last year. The best comparisons are Belt, Choo and Carter. Two of those guys are pretty dang good.
The Belt comparison is one I quite like.
Would like to get Cutch if The Price is Right. But even Bob Barker might flinch at Vogs-Karns-Marte.