1
....
Great post, materially right on point ... one minor note: Pythag goes off runs scored and allowed, in our case +451 and -413 for a 51-44 Pythag. Defensive losses have already been factored in to our actual runs.
So what we're saying is that if Dewan's figures are right, the M's (with an average defense, not a good one) would have given up -388 runs rather than -413 and their Pythag would be 55-40. Presumably the team would have brought those four wins onto the field and they'd be 52-43 right now.
.....
Interesting that DiPoto talked so much about a "Run Prevention Model" and especially OF defense in Safeco. I'm glad to know he isn't dogmatic. Could use a two-way left fielder, though!