++ Sandy has called my attention to the fact that it’s actually normal (without steroids) to decline around age 32-33. ++
It's actually normal to decline around age 30. If you're a mediocre ballplayer. :- ) (Not that you don't know this.)
The better a player is, the later he tends to decline, as you know. It's normal to decline around age 32-33 if you are at Talent Level X. It's certainly not normal for a HOF-class player (Griffey, ARod, Pujols, etc) to decline at age 32.
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I expected Sexson to age well and the opposite occurred. That's my bad. As you know, it doesn't prove that you project every non-HOF hitter to fall off the table at 31 from now on.
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As you know, Sexson hit in terrible bad luck, also. The jury is out as to whether Sexson's age-arc wasn't warped by Safeco and by bad luck.
Cirillo and many others have left Safeco and recovered. Let's see what happens with Sexson from here out.
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