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The one thing Chavez has shown so far is an increased BB rate. At the same time his O-Swing% is actually higher than career rates this year (25.7% to 22.2% career) so the BB rate is unlikely continue. Combine that with the fact that his contact% is actually also WAY DOWN from career rates at 77.6% this year. Even his ISoP is lower than career rates this year. He could be sufferring from the NL to AL conversion.
The one thing hes doing early on is hitting line drives, but then his BABIP so far has been .422. Me, I think hes partly on a hot streak, and partly dumb luck.. I think regression is coming soon, and its going to be brutal.
If you get a .275/.320/.365 year out of him, I think you take that.