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Taro's picture

If anything I think its controversial to hold him in the +5-15 range per 150 games. Bill James' plus/minus had him at +55 plays in RF from '06-08 in LIMITED PT. UZR has him as a CAREER 19.8 runs above-average in CF. His RZR is rediculous. PMR loves him.
Even RF/9 has him at 0.20 putouts+assists above league average CF CAREER per 9 innings. Guess how many putouts+assists above average that puts him in CF per 150 games? THIRTY.
Most of the metrics seem to rate him as around a +20 CF and my eyes back that up. Some of the catches hes been making are just plain Nintendo. I think hes an even BETTER CFielder than Mike Cameron was in his prime. Hes the top CF in the game and a legit +15-20 CF, +10-15 at the VERY least is you're pessemistic on him.
His WAR in less than a half season? 2.2 already. Hes going to be a 4+ WAR player this season EASY, he'll pull a 5 WAR season if his offense+defense stay this good. If you're WILDLY pessemistic beyond all the numbers and obvious skill watching him play D and see him as a +10 CF, then hes STILL going to be a 4 WAR player if the offense stays the same.
Gut is awesome. If you shift the argument to a more proper range of +10-20 (keeping in mind that hes actually BEEN +20 according to most metrics) and his offense stays where it is RIGHT now, then you're arguing over whether Gut is a fulltime 4-5 WAR player (Cameron prime level). If his offense IMPROVES and he keeps his D in the +15-20 range? Thats a superstar level player.

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