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But remember I'm not claiming to infer anything.  I'm claiming to guess something.
The response to that was a flat assertion that my guess, in Washburn's individual case, couldn't be correct because of the generalized trend.  The response was the formal inference, not my guess.
And IMHO that inference was, and is, a logical fallacy.
...............
I don't doubt that Washburn's "contract year" run is because of somethng else, such as a Perfect Storm of better coaching, a healthier arm, renewed enthusiasm because of winning, and his smelling the money. 
Agree 100% we don't know what it is.  Often it doesn't *matter* what the cause is.
I do suspect that whatever the "Perfect Storm" causes are, and to what extent his "smelling the money" plays a role, his performance not going to carry forward on anything like his 2009 level.  :- )