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You've probably read John Benson's "Age 26 With Experience" principle.
#2 yellow sticky on a rotodweeb's monitor, draft day:  ML players exactly age 26, who have been in the bigs a while.   Most common age for a huge bustout.
#1 yellow sticky is the high-BPV pitchers who've had misleading ERA's, like Ian Snell.  :- )

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