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Well this dovetails nicely with a post I authored a couple weeks ago -- then said, 'nah' and hit delete... : )
Sandy has mentioned before how he likes to look at a guy's career minor league line in evaluating prospects.  And the interesting thing when you look at Fister is, his AAA line was impressive but NOT particularly flukish.  Career minor leagues, 2.2 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9. 
So, using my shotgun application of bastardized sabermetric concepts ;), I then looked up MLB starting pitchers who have a similar BB/9 and K/9 profile.  Some guys putting up similar lines:  Carl Pavano, Randy Wolf, Jason Hamel, James Shields, Cliff Lee.  There aren't that many, because there just aren't that many pitchers with that kind of control.
If you assume Fister's control stays, but he k's fewer batters in MLB, a few comps (on those stats alone, of course) are Nick Blackburn, Zach Duke, and, ahem, Joel Piniero.
 
Anyway, in the broad since of finding statistical parallels, Fister's performance to date kinda indicates an extreme upside of Cliff Lee, which I guess is saying something similar to a poor man's Maddux.  Most likely, of course, he'll be in the Joel Piniero mold, with a promising year or three before splattering on the windshield.  : )