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What specifically are you betting on though?
I think you have to assume that lefties are going to be playing batting practice with him at this point, so hes really going to have to minimize those BBs, and maximize his effectiveness vs RHs.
French has been written off more than once on this site. Its interesting to note that hes been slightly better than Fister at BOTH the AAA and MLB level this year.
I think whats warping opinions is that over the past 4 weeks we've just happened to see Fister at his best and French at his worst. These guys are similar prospects (potential BOR starters with issues vs opposite handed hitters) and either could emerge next spring. Personally I think French has slightly more upside, but also slightly more bust potential (slider.. where are you at?).