they probably are hoping that he turns out to be a 4th OF, yeah, as I erroneously feared that he might (30% chance of his not being a starter, pre-season, now 0%).
... when we speak of Gutierrez as having MVP-candidate level value, we're basing that on the idea that he saves +28.5 runs above what some other quality AL center fielder would, if playing in Safeco.
There's a feasible argument that this is the case, but as you know, I'm pretty skeptical of that. Curtis Granderson saved a full -28 runs fewer than Gutierrez per UZR, but me personally, I'll bet a whale of a lot that Granderson gets to more balls in Safeco than Guti does.
Granderson's batting runs were 6.0, compared to Guti's 6.3, and Granderson 'earned' $14M as opposed to $26M. Such is the volatility of value that is driven by UZR.
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