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With Johjima off the books, I'm willing to say 5 million for Wilson with team option or AB or G option. But nothing north of that. More than that, and you're ranging into having one middling player eat too many cookies, which are already scarce as it is.
My bet is that the market will remain crashed this winter and you'll end up with players like Orlando Cabrera, Adam Everett, Felipe Lopez and others clogging and depressing the market. For instance, Adam Everett got 1 million last year and put up similar numbers in the AL AND has a history of being twice the defender Jack Wilson was in the NL Central.
I think we have more options than are apparent. It'll be fun to see, but I just don't hope it's JJ Hardy or Jack Wilson's option.