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is more for motivation than reality.  Both for those longshots put on ("hey, dude, the brass says you're close") and those who are closer but were left off ("I'll show them . . . ").
I'm not buying that Gillies or Triunfel will sniff the bigs in the short term.  I think it's just a shout-out.  If not for Trinufel's broken ankle, then sure, but not now.  He missed all of 2009, and his comback in the AFL? 2-for-18 with 1 BB, 6 Ks, 0 xbh. 
Aumont can go to the bigs once he sorts things out, and maybe it will be soon.  But maybe not. So I guess that's fair, but it's a big if.  I suspect they want to keep him pumped up because he's struggled in the AFL.
Carrera's season looks awesome on paper, but doesn't really hold up under the scope.  But he's ticketed for 4th/5th OF anyway, so, sure, he could fill that role quickly, as if he were a "Rule 5 kid."  I suppose Gillies could, too, but Carrera has a full season of AA under his belt.
Lt. Hill, I've already said, can quickly jump over French, Olson and Vargas, and I don't doubt he'll be in the pen sometime in 10.  But I'll put my money that it will be French coming out of spring training.
I actually think the two rookies most likely to be on the 25-man in the spring are Varvaro and Fields.  Batista is gone and White is coming off injury and they never had much faith in Jaku.  But neither one pops up on this list.