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KingCorran's picture

I noted that Gutierrez and Ichiro had disproportionally higher CLUTCH ratings than the other guys.  Given that 'clutch' is generally considered not to be a repeatable skill... doesn't that indicate that Ichiro and Guti were in essence 'luckier' than the other guys with top WPAs?  That perhaps their contributions should be taken with a larger grain of salt than the other guys, since their production benefited from more or less perfect timing (again, if we agree that this is not a repeatable skill)?
Obviously, you can't compare Guti last year to this year.  But I examined Ichiro going a couple years back.  His clutch is ALWAYS in the 0.4-0.6 range... excepting 2004, when it was flat zero.  The guy had a component to his game this year that, while not under his control, greatly inflated his WPA.  (I think.  I could totally be misinterpreting the relationship between these things).  He's always on the first page... but 2001 and 2003 were the only other seasons he ever cracked 1.00 (just barely in both).  A 1.7ish level just doesn't seem repeatable... much less Guti's 2.44
Now, if the point is just to sit back and acknowledge that these guys were FREAKING AWESOME in 2009...  no argument here!  =)  And it's cool to see that on Guti's side as well... I wouldn't have expected him to be in that category this year.  But if we try to extend that data forward, I think we might run in to trouble.  Am I anywhere near the mark?
 
 

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