The recession won't be over next season so their's no need to panic over the bargains you see this offseason. It's time to go bargain hunting and go long. Build a dynasty not a stapled together 1-2 year playoff run. Right now their are plenty of players that have done well in AAA but haven't had a good look in mlb and can be acquired cheaply. Some names, Chris Shelton, Ryan Shealy(might not be good fit with M's since you already have chris Shelton), Dallas Mcpherson(back injury get him from SF and sign him for 5-6 years 20 million). Don't lock yourself up in just stars and scrubs look at the financial aspects and the minor league stars that are being discarded on the sidelines.
Also you have to think payroll. Honestly if you get 4 players for $20 mil a piece your left with $20 for the rest of the team. If you get a vlad for $10 million a piece and fill up you roster with vlads you won't have any money for pitchers..... Compound that big stars will be only here Short term and are filled with risk to repeat.
One way you can think of the contracts is like investing today in the stock market. You could buy when the market was down mutual funds which are fairly safe and dependable(the civics) and you'll get maybe 40% since the market is so undervalued. Or you go on a hunch on something like Bank of ireland(IRE) in march at $1 per share and sell it for $18 a share 6 months later. However to be bold enough to do something like this in baseball you need to 1) Recognize the untapped value 2) Have the disciple to hold onto the investment until maturity 3) Use it or cash it in for more prospects. Another side benifit of this approach is you could potentially get more draftable players since all the stars you produce are home grown talent. As such when their contracts expire then o we lost a A class star please give us a first round pick.
Cheers,
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