1
Five years from now, which pitcher will have the better results over those 5 years? Morrow or Jackson?
No one knows. Jackson is more likely to be better than Morrow, because he's actually done it and for a longer period of time. But the talent levels are similar.
Z knows this, and IMO he's not willing to make a lateral move. He wants to 'increase the talent level in the organization'. Morrow + Kelley + Tui for Jackson doesn't do that in aggregate.
I get the sense that Z would behave this way regardless of the market. This is opposite Bavasi's mindset, where he limited his thinking to the current state of the market and only felt comfortable with a locked-in veteran at every chair.