If the premise is that Jackson is going to get *worse* than he was in 2009, then yeah. That's a different debate.
And as it happens, one that I'm not interested in, for the same reasons that I'm not interested in discussing "what if Jose Lopez gets worse? What then?"
In this thread, however, you might find those interested in re-valuing the trade based on Jackson going backwards in 2010.
.............
In the meantime, I'll cheerfully concede, the article above presumes that Jackson will be as good as he was last year -- able to run 4.25 FIPs the next two years.
The consensus of GM's and of Roto celebrities will be the same as mine, though Scott Boras is another issue. I think it's fair to acknowledge that Zduriencik did not target Jackson because he thought Jackson would get worse.
And the Shandlers, Labadinis, etc. will of course not predict Jackson to pitch (significantly) worse than he did in 2009 as a whole. Jackson is going to go very high in the TOUT Wars and similar.
But that doesn't mean you're not entitled to go your own way on him.
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