1
The bulk of Figgins' value is going to be in those first 2-3 years. I can't see Z signing a guy like Figgins in FA if he wasn't trying to contend.
I'd also argue that Harden's long-term value was irrelevant. He signed a one-year guy with a club option. If you like him hes back in '11, if not hes a bargain in '10 and hes gone.