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Now I know why Doc prefers 10 post threads. :-)
Seriously though, I don't think Smith would have lost any of his '09 HRs in Safeco.
The 413 footer for example was at 65.6 degrees in right field where the wind blows out in Safeco and you've got a HR at around 365-370 feet. That ball is definetly out in Safeco too, and probably well into the stands.
The 406 footer was at 76.1 degrees in right-center where you have a HR at about 380 feet in Safeco. I mean its possible that it was a factor of the Cincinatti ballpark, but again the ball travels fine in that area in Safeco and it probably still clears the wall and into the seats. I mean you have to shave 26 feet of of that HR for it to become even remotely catchable..
I don't think Smith's Hr distance would be penalized by Safeco (although he'd lose some from leaving Colorado). His power is pretty much COMPLETELY right to right-center where the wind blows out. In fact in his career, hes only had ONE HR in left to center in 2008 against Tim Lincecum in SF. A 382 footer to left field that may or may not have been knocked down in Safeco (still probably would have cleared the 370 foot wall). I mean Lopez had a ton of those type of HRs last season. Smith has had one in his career so far.
Smith might lose 5-10 points of BABIP (all singles likely) due to outfields playing deeper in Col, but hes one of the rare player types who probably wouldn't suffer much in the transition from Colorado to Safeco. I actually think Holliday himself would suffer a bigger penalty (though not much himself).