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Ya, but you can certainly see the upside too right? His swing is a great fit for Safeco, hes undervalued by his current team, and his bat is pretty intriguing. I personally can't identify a single '09 HR that wouldn't have gone out in Safeco.
I was looking through the top HR hitters and found most people settling below 106mph. I think maybe the league-average hitter is more likely to hit a LD HR than a back-spin HR hitter (league-average means league-average hitting plane as well). If you check out the top 10 AL HR hitters, I found that most of 'em are below the 106 range.
Where do you find those league-average stats btw? Is it also hittracker?