Add new comment

It should be noted about Lopez.  In 2008, he had a PRO-Safeco HR split, (13/4).
In 2009, it reversed to a pro-road HR split, (8/17).
Lopez has ALREADY proven "capable" of hitting 13 HRs in Safeco in a season.  He's ALREADY proven capable of hitting 17 HRs on the road in a season.  So, while I would not normally recommend taking the best two home/road splits from two seasons to create an "expectation" for a player -- I do believe it is a not unreasonable methodology for suggesting an upside possibility WITHOUT actual improvement.  Personally, I think Lopez has a little more room to grow.  I think .300/.330/.500 is a good target for Lopez in 2010.  Of course, any projection to career best must always be considered optimistic -- but 26/27 is the historical sweet spot for setting career bests.
As for his defense?  The club was #1 in baseball DER in 2009 while Lopez was playing 2B, (and Yuni was playing short).  Can his defense POSSIBLY be that bad if he's playing with the #1 defense in all of baseball?