Take a low BB, high FB pitcher and chances are they'll benefit from Safeco.
Harang's Career Hr/FB% is 11%, which is pretty much dead average. His 1.22 HR/9 career is inflated due to a high FB% in a homerdome. His command is still intact.
What is also fascinating about Harang is that he has a career reverse platoon split, but his K/BB is better vs RHBs (he give up more XBHs and a higher BABIP to RHs).
As for the negatives, Harang is no longer the star pitcher he was in 2006 and 2007. A 1mph decline in slider velocity has caused his SwS% to drop 2 percentage points and a rise in CT%. After having positive value over his entire career, its been -1 run per 100 pitches over the last couple years. The slider is his only real offspeed weapon so that has likely been key to his decline.
Harang has a high career LD% against and WILL suffer from the move to the AL. Expect a high 6ish K/9.
All that said, even in the past 2 years hes been a 4.10 FIP-ish guy in a bandbox in the NL. Whatever Nl to AL penalty he has should be offset largely by the defense and park. Overall hes very Kevin Millwood-ish, which isn't that bad of a thing. I wouldn't overpay, but if the Reds want Ian Snell for him and are willing to throw in a lot of cash it could be a really solid move.
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