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Fact is, people don't start smoking pot as 25-year-old professionals.  They start in high school, or earlier.
I don't know anything -- I'm not from there -- but I can't imagine that Lincecum did not have a whispering "reputation" below the radar that was sufficient to drag down his draft status just a little.
Given that the Ms are located in his home area makes it that much more likely that they were privy to off-the-record info that led them to take Morrow over Lincecum.  I think "injury risk" may have been a euphemism.
Doesn't make it the right move, but with millions at stake, people err on the side of caution. 
Of course, I could be completely off base.  But it seems to fit with the on-the-record facts.

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