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went all the way from 27.9 in 2008 ... to 28.5 last year... considering Felix had a string of 20-25* straight quality starts, wouldn't you have expected more than that, just on the basis of how few times he was knocked out of the box?
Hold up your hand if you saw Felix laboring, late in games.
...............
Don't know if I'd want to TEST it, but my guess is that Felix would now be fine to throw 250-280 innings per year, the next fifteen years.
30 years from now, that may be the sabermetric discussion. "The 2010-2020 Mariners, we now know, could have used Felix Hernandez for 300 innings per year, and foolishly threw away three division titles not doing so."
;- )