1
Are going to give up home runs. Kelley's HR rate of 1.8 last year is way above the 1.4 demarcation line, but of course two homers more or less make the stats look much different for him.
IMHO you should be able to watch Kelley toss one game and realize that it isn't a Doug Fister-level concern here. Guys who chronically give up 1.5 homers do so for specific reasons, none of which exist with Kelley.