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But, I'll certainly concede neither is a sure thing.
I like Vargas better because of superior minor league numbers and, (more importantly), he's a lefty in Safeco.  His kryptonite is the long ball -- but it's really common for pitchers to experience some gopheritis in their early days, which they correct with experience.
Fister - even given his superior command - is a RHP in Safeco.  While his HR rates in the minors were acceptable - they weren't exceptional.  Certainly not enough innings with Fister to draw firm conclusions on his ultimate HR rate yet.  And I don't believe Vargas has enough MLB innings to be certain where he's going to land.  But, Vargas certainly has an edge in park effects which should help him more than Fister.
For me - RRS vs. Vargas is the much harder call.  The tough call there is that RRS (at the moment), appears to be regressing instead of progressing.  Vargas looks to moving BACK to what he was when he got ROY votes back in 2005, before getting hurt.
Honestly, I think the take of RRS being ideal for swing-man may be exactly on the money.