1
The K% is too much of a gap and also the speed of ascention through the minors. Dye just developed much quicker and still had far better contact ratios.
A 76 CT% vs 85 CT% is NOT a small difference. Its like saying theres not much of a difference between Ichiro and Gutierrez contact wise. Its a very big gap.
You have to find someone who had 3000+ PAs in the minors with a K% around 24% or worse and BB/K around 0.3-0.4. For me Preson Wilson is the guy that all terrible strikezone control prospects aspire to.
Chavez's upside is something like Preston Wilson with less D. His chances of getting there aren't that great either IMO. Hes a HUGE sell high for me this offseason.