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Prince Fielder has a .280 career average and strikes out 130 times a year.
Jim Edmonds has a .284 career average and strikes out 140 times a year.
Justin Morneau has a .286 career average and strikes out 100 times a year.
Maybe the projected extra 40 Ks will drop Smoak's average enough that his extra walks will only make up the difference, but it's not a lock. He could very well post Morneau's average AND walk more. It's not like Morneau is a .320 hitter or something.
~G