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What *IS* the norm, anyway? I ask myself that question perhaps more than any other. Because I really don't know what 'normal' is in regards to prospect success rates.
But, a quick (and unscientific) glance at ONLY 1st round picks of the 21st century, (really only covers 2000-2006, because almost nobody from 2007 has generated MLB stats yet) - how do KC and Seattle compare?
KC - 15 total picks (thru 2010). 6 have MLB time.
Greinke - 22.8-WAR; Mitch Maier 1.6-WAR; JP Howell 3.6-WAR; billy Butler 5.0-WAR; Alex Gordon 4.0-WAR; Hochevar (-0.6 WAR). Five of six with positive war.
Seattle - 12 picks -- 5 have MLB time.
Mayberry (-0.4 WAR); Adam Jones 7.7-WAR; Clement (-1.2 WAR); Morrow 3.5 WAR; Mangini (-0.1 WAR)
Jones and Morrow the only success stories - both traded - both producing for somebody else. Morrow generated 2.0 WAR before leaving. That is the ONLY positive WAR Seattle has received of *ANY* 1st round player drafted during the 21st century.