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Is about where I figure he'll be. Morneau before the breakout, Fielder in his down years, whatever measure you want to use. .270/.370/.500 is NOT a bad season.
Maybe I'm wrong, and we'll get Fielder in his up years instead, but that's not where I'm setting the bar. Richie Sexson's .260/.345/.510 ish career netted him 120 OPS+, and he was a fine 1B. Smoak has the platoon advantage to boot, and he has it all the time.
That's the range of production I'm looking for, and all those guys drive in runs while being pretty sloooow. I'm looking forward to that whole driving-in-runs thing again, instead of squibbing weak grounders to first.
My kingdom for the sound of solid contact...
~G