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Remember, SPD is an attempt to identify guys who might SB this year, who didn't the year before... it edits out SB, attempts, %, etc.
Guti is a prime example of a guy of whom SPD would say, "he had a great SB year, and don't pay for it again..."
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I was thinkin' that too... didn't see a lot of balls off the fence; I don't remember any deep right-center hits that he held up on, that surprised me...
That Ichiro's SPD drop to 130 might be an illusion, your idea there is pretty intriguing.  Wouldn't bet anything I was afraid to lose that it might not bounce right back to 150, 170.

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