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"He's a half-season of nice results away from --- > being one of the next big ML-ready aces."
Man, that's it.  People in the Paxton template don't need to "season" their game.  They move up quickly because of its simplicity. There is no "learning curve."
Catcher puts down one finger or two, He taps the inside of his left thigh, or his right.  That's as complicated as they should make it. 
Throw it hard and high or roll it off the table.
If Paxton is Gooden and Randy Johnson-lite, he throws in the majors in 2012.
AA by midsummer, '11 (maybe Tacoma by August)
In fact, you're better off moving them up fast. Tell them this worked here.  Do it again there.  K.I.S.S.
The more time you take, the more you think you have to tinker. 
Paxton, evidently (and I'm buying into Doc's analysis) ain't broke.  Don't fix him.
moe