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And if he had been brought along about a year ahead of Mangini's pace (fringe of majors at 24 as opposed to 25), that would maybe have been about right. In the majors at 22 was all wrong. But he was a victim of his own success (well-timed hot streaks, as you note, Sandy) and the complete lack of alternatives from his era (that weren't traded away).
I still have hope for him, but unfortunately the path he ended up taking (rushed to majors and then trying to revamp once already there) was, as Sandy says, a bad fit for the "gifted jock" template (as with Tui, also born in 1986).
Where are you on Tenbrink (also born in 86), Sandy? I'd love him as a 4th OF, but he can't back up in CF.