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Doc,
You are absolutely correct that 15 games doesn't determine where a team will finish in ANY stat.
But, if you can extrapolate a two week power outage as a likely year long problem, then I believe it is equaly reasonable to posit that the defense may not be just 'bad luck'.
The 13 runs on 13 errors is an obvious outlier - (league average is somewhere around 2 errors per unearned run).  But, Seattle had a rough 7/11 ratio in 2010, so "untimely" errors are not always a random occurrence.
IMO, this team isn't nearly as good defensively w/o DTFT.  And as good as Wilson may have "looked" at 2B early on, *HE* clearly was not enjoying his demotion from 6 to 4.
How many people you know who "thrive" in a job they hate? 
Honestly, I think the team did a remarkable job in 2010 by not allowing the defense to go any further south than it did (considering the record).
Another problem is ... if the defense continues bad for much longer, then the pitchers will start trying to "strike everyone out" - which leads to its own set of self-inflicted suicide by fear. 
First half of April is ALWAYS full of nonsense ... (Langerhans leads the team in HRs ... Figgins is next to last in walks).  Perhaps the D will show up when the power does.  I wouldn't be counting my chickens on either front.