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Hey, I said from the start that .500 is a good score, the scorecard wasn't meant to inspire a defensive reaction at all. There's something to be said for going on the line for a Doug Fister and seeing "frontline starter" when everyone else pegs them as filler, and then being right about it.
Anyone can predict greatness for Top 50 prospects and 1st round picks. Those calls mean nothing, everybody else is saying the same thing.
Seeing a journeyman 28 year old minor league mopup guy and being able to say they'd be a successful SP - that's where you set yourself apart from the rest. You don't see optimism like that on sites like USSM. It's not like you're launching a handful of darts and taking credit for the couple that hit; it's about one or two carefully chosen players per season.
Of course some, if not most, of these players will fail; if they weren't high-risk players, the prediction/call would be worthless. Going .500 with Spoljarics, Henrys (forgot the big one!), and Cabreras is far more impressive than going .750 with Tillmans, Joneses, and Ackleys.

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