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LOL, anyone who bats above .500 on their hometown predictions, in their heart, is not a true fan. If a .335/.455/.676 AAA line from your team's #3 overall pick *doesn't* spark unrealistic optimism, then you're probably not going to get much enjoyment from following the team. A large part of being a fan is hopes and the realization of those hopes.
I've followed the good Doctor for over a dozen years, and here's where I see the scorecard standing....
BIG HITS (DOV optimism correct and far above others' expectations): Jeff Fassero, Gil Meche, Joel Pineiro, Asdrubal Cabrera, Shin-Soo Choo
BIG MISSES (DOV optimism incorrect and far above others' expectations): Paul Spoljaric, Scott Sanders, Antonio Perez, Jose Lopez, Yuniesky Betancourt, Matt Tuiasosopo
MIDDLE GROUND: Paul Abbott, Robert Ramsay, Brett Tomko
NEUTRAL (high DOV optimism of players others consider as Top 100 prospects): Ken Cloude, Jose Cruz Jr., Freddy Garcia, Carlos Guillen, Rafael Soriano, Jeremy Reed, Chris Snelling, Jeff Clement, Brandon Morrow, Justin Smoak, Michael Pineda, Nick Franklin, Dustin Ackley
I'd say Fister and Wilhelmsen are the only current Mariners that could fall into the "big hits" or "big misses" categories. Moderate skepticism of most of the other borderline prospects/players.
Who've I missed?

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