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Hey champ, have you seen this article?
Suddenly da Fangraphs Truth becomes more nuanced:  turns out a pitcher can influence his own homer/F rate.  And, mercy me, whod'a thunk great fastball is demonstrably a weapon that prevents homers.
The industrywide CORR between FBv and HR/F is 0.29 ... but of course what is generally "mildly true" can be specifically "very true" for the outliers.
If all pitchers with smoke can suppress HR's mildly, then a pitcher with [97 smoke x great command] might well suppress HR's dramatically.
It's a funny thing:  when Bill James heard Voros McCracken's theory, the very first thing he did was open the almanac to NOLAN RYAN, to see if 98 heat would defeat the theory.  (It does, to some extent; we exchanged some letters about it.)  One more example of James seeing at a glance what takes an army of 'net rats 10 years to stumble upon.
........
You know and I know that it has been no accident that Pineda's getting pansy swings against him.