Great question, doc.
A quick perusal reveals:
In his first 124 MLB games and almost 500 PA's (he should go over 500 tonight), Smoak has 21 doubles and 17 HR's. His OBP, this year, is .402. (That translates, btw, to 27 doubles and 20-21 HR's over a full 650 PA season...Doubles generally increase over time.
In his 3rd full year ('92), Olerud played 138 games and had 537 PA's. He had 28 doubles and 16 HR's. The next year he exploded with an OBP of .450+ and 54 doubles. but, more to generally whacked, he averaged over the next 10 years 29-40 doubles and 15-22 HR's, and was in the .400 0BP (+ or - a bit) every year.
Smoak....30-40 doubles each year (some year he'll hit 45), 20-30 HR's each year (will peak even higher), OBP .375-.400.
Pretty Olerud-ish numbers.
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