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Ya, I'm with you there. Who knows if Cole can develop a slower change and slider without being deliberate. Most pitchers never do develop a good change. Cole is getting plus-plus reports on the change solely due to the movement, but its not a weapon if low A hitters can adjust to it looking fastball.
You're projecting at that point. I don't want to project at #2 unless I've got a monster position player prospect.
Cole's upside is higher than Bauer, but how much higher really either than 2mph on the heater? Cole's downside is FAR higher. Bauer is a much better pitcher right now with a far better chance of staying healthy.
If ceiling is the sole consideration, why not draft Bundy or Bubba?