Baltimore currently sits at 94 ... so let's look at what a 94 vs 83 OPS+ team compare:
POS - Baltimore ---- Seattle ------ (OPS+ difference)
CA --- .788 - 124 --- .508 - 47 --- (-77)
1B --- .630 - 64 ----- .893 - 130 -- +66
2B --- .592 - 72 ----- .699 - 102 -- +30
SS --- .690 - 80 ----- .498 - 49 --- (-31)
LF --- .624 - 79 ----- .575 - 65 --- (-14)
CF --- .801 - 115 --- .551 - 49 --- (-66)
RF --- .657 - 69 ----- .698 - 82 -- +13
DH --- .765 - 105 --- .652 - 78 -- (-27)
BALT : .690 - 94 ...... .625 - 83 -- (-11)
In order to reach a 95 OPS+, the *ENTIRE TEAM* must average an increase in OPS of 65 points. Or, half the team must increase their OPS by 130 points.
Note also that the current team is missing 2 players (Bradley 95 and Langerhans 94) that were above the team average. So, the current OPS and OPS+ of the team *OVER* state the current talent on the roster. If Gutierrez comes back and posts a 95 OPS+, then he effectively replaces the offensive output of the cut players, which actually makes the current 83 OPS+ accurate of the true current talent on the team.
It has been argued that Kennedy ABs will improve the performance, if he is allowed to take away PAs from Figgins. Figgins has an OPS of .572 and .575 in April and May. Kennedy, after a hot April, has hit .601 in May. Kennedy is 35, posted a 79 OPS+ last season, and has a career OPS+ of 88. Kennedy's current high (103) OPS+ is driven almost exclusively by a spike in his slugging, as he has 4 HRs in only 104 PAs. He had a grand total of 3 last season (389 PAs).
The club is currently on pace for 69 wins. Assuming competing in 2011 requires 89 wins, then the club has to make up 20 wins ... but in only 3/4 of a season.
Per bbref, the Ms are currently at +6.9 WAR for pitchers +1.0 for hitters.
Assuming the pitching remains as good ... that's +28 wins (rounding up to 7) for pitching.
That's 4 wins for the regulars.
That's 28 + 4 = 32 wins = 72 wins.
To reach 89 wins would require 17 addition WAR. That would require replacing three of the black holes with ... (using 2010 final tallies) Evan Longoria (7.4), Josh Hamilton (6.5) and AROD (3.0). How far away is this team away from 89 wins ... assuming the pitching stays just as good? Replace Figgins, Saunders and Ryan with Longoria, Hamilton and AROD. That gets you to 89 wins ... (except for the fact 1/4 of the season is already over ... so, that still only gets you to about 85 or 86 wins).
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