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My call on Carp wasn't simple numbers.  It was the order ... (in baseball order matters).
After a decade chasing "upside" quick-twitchers down the rabbit hole, I was thrilled with the Carp throw-in because Carp did NOT hit great his first 400 ABs in AA, but he did in his next 500.  You don't go from pedestrian (.720) to All-Star (.870) in those kind of samples unless you fixed "something". 
IIRC, I pegged his upside as Abreu without speed.  After losing the weight, he's stolen 6 of 8 bases in his 57 AAA games this year.  Not Abreu ... but here's a guy who is not SATISFIED with putting up a thousand OPS.  He starts swiping 15 bases a year, too?!? 
To borrow a phrase ... I luv eeeeeeeet!
Of course, like all specs, he could fail.  But, his previous performance in the majors certainly didn't indicate that the talent level was beyond his ken. 
I will only add that I *like* the patience the club is showing with its prospects.  The seemingly chaotic choices (Pineda immediately ... Peguero before Carp and Ackley.  Halman out of the blue.  This actually gives me a LOT more faith that the previous paradigm of "promote-until-failure" is kaput.  I see the chaos as comforting, because the decisions do not seem to be knee jerk, nor overly influenced by promoting-the-hype. 
I may loathe Peguero's 8:1 K/BB ratio ... but I certainly cannot complain about what he's managed to do while running that rate.  And if he can lower that to a more realistic 4:1 ... wow ... imagining a Carp, Halman, Peguero OF ... (sigh)